Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2026 10.30pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2026 11.00pm
Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 12.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Remo
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw has a probability of 25.53% and a win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (11.03%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it is 0-1 (6.77%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 51.15% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 25.53% ▲ (+0.25)
Cruzeiro 23.32% ▼ (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% ▼ (-1.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.34% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 24.66% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 51.53% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 48.47% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 3.5 28.56% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 3.5 71.4% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 4.5 16.01% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 4.5 83.99% ▲ (+0.59)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 40.13% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 40.28% ▼ (-0.43)
Cruzeiro 19.59% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 58.47% ▼ (-0.32)
No Goal 6.76% ▲ (+0.43)
Cruzeiro 34.77% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 71.76% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 9.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 18.92% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 9 61.12% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 10.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 28.24% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 49.97% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 50.03% ▲ (+0.13)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 48.42% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 51.58% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 21.93% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 78.07% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 7.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 92.01% ▲ (+0.15)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 61.41% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 0.5 38.59% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 1.5 26.08% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 1.5 73.92% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 2.5 8.43% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 91.57% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 2.31% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.69% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 51.14%
Draw 25.53%
Cruzeiro 23.31%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.11% ▲ (+0.48)
2-1 @ 11.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 51.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.53%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 23.31%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Sep 2, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Natanael 58' yellowcard
  • Victor Hugo 77' goal
  • Fred 88' goal
  • yellowcard Otávio Costa 25'
  • goal Kaio Jorge  30'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge  35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 42'
  • redcard Lucas Villalba 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 71'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Bruno 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 26, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 55' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 60' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 46'
  • yellowcard Tomás Cuello 54'
  • goal Renan Lodi 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 1.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Néiser Villarreal 40' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 62' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 62' yellowcard
  • João Marcelo 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 78' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge  86' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Minda 12'
  • yellowcard Maycon  32'
  • yellowcard Reinier 65'
  • yellowcard Reinier 66'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 72'
  • yellowcard Kauã Pascini 77'
  • yellowcard Cauã Soares 88'
  • yellowcard Tomás Pérez 88'
Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Sep 11, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 27, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT