Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.76% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%) , while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.