Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.