Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.14% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.