Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.