Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 2-1 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.