Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.