Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.48% and a win for Neman had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Neman win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.