Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 30.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (11.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.