Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.58% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Gomel win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.