Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.