Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.