Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%).