Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 36%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (10.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.