Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%).