Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.