Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.