Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 1
Mar 20, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion FK Minsk
  • A. Ksenofontov 35' goal
  • Vladislav Malyutin 78' yellowcard
  • V. Varaksa 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Mokin 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Tolkachev 58'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Sotnikov 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Sazonchik 75'

FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Minsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 11.00am
FC Minsk 2 - 0 BATE

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 11.00am
Naftan 2 - 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

FC Minsk 44.67%
Draw 26.14% (-0.06)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 29.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2%
Under 1.5 26.8%
Over 2.5 49.61% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.39% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.48% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.73% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.27% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

FC Minsk 32.59%
Draw 43.89%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23.52%

Team To Score First

FC Minsk 53.9% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.4% (-0.03)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 37.7% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 3.39%
Equal 8 0.66%
Under 8 95.95%
Over 9 2.88%
Equal 9 0.51%
Under 9 96.61%
Over 10.5 2.46%
Under 10.5 97.54%

FC Minsk Goals

Over 1.5 42.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.01% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.99% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.06% (-0.01)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 62.71% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.29% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.8%
Under 1.5 70.2%
Over 2.5 11.06%
Under 2.5 88.94%
Over 3.5 3.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

FC Minsk 44.67%
Draw 26.13%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 29.19%
FC Minsk
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 6.77% (+0.02)
Total : 44.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 26.13%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.19%

Head to Head

Belarusian Premier League
Sep 26, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadyen Traktar
  • Ilya Sviridenko 10' goal
  • Ilya Sviridenko 10' goal
  • Dmitry Lisakovich 40' yellowcard
  • Dmitry Lisakovich 40' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Gutor 64' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Gutor 64' yellowcard
  • Ilya Dubinets 78' yellowcard
  • Ilya Dubinets 78' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Khadarkevich 90'+3' goal
  • Ruslan Khadarkevich 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 43'
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 43'
  • goal Kiriil Kirilenko 65'
  • goal Kiriil Kirilenko 65'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 28
Nov 9, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Aleksandr Skshinecki 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yevgeniy Zemko 82'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Mikhalenko 86'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 13
Jun 22, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion FK Minsk
  • Daniil Dusheuski 7' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Mikhalenko 19' yellowcard
  • Danila Godyaev 77' yellowcard
  • Tsimafei Simanenka 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vadim Harutyunyan 15'
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 20'
  • goal Aleksandr Poznyak 36'
  • yellowcard Danila Godyaev 58'
  • yellowcard Kirill Zabelin 90'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 10
May 26, 2022 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vladimir Khvashchinskiy 8' goal
  • Yegor Bogomolskiy 61' yellowcard
  • Kirill Chernook 72' goal
  • yellowcard Artem Kiyko 33'
  • yellowcard Igor Khaimanov 36'
  • yellowcard Dimitry Osipenko 75'
  • yellowcard Yegor Khvalko 80'
  • redcard Yegor Khvalko 90'+1'