Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.92% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.