Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.77% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (8.63%).