Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.64% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.67%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.