Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.