Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.