Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 81.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.71% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.61%) and 3-0 (13.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.32%) , while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.