Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.17%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood.