Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.87% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%) , while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (7.6%).