Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (11.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.