Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Naftan win was 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.