Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 34.87%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 31.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (11.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.