Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (10.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.