Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.01% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.