Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.54% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.