Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (11.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.