Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.