Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (10.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.