Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.