Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.57% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.