Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 17
Aug 7, 2026 3.45pm
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Naftan

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 4.00pm
Dnepr Mogilev 3 - 3 Naftan

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1 - 2 FC Minsk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Naftan has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Naftan win is 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.33%).

Result

Naftan 28.53% (+0.16)
Draw 26.91% (+0.06)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 44.56% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.9% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.85% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 30.15% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 44.33% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 55.67% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.94% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.06% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Naftan 24.46% (+0.02)
Draw 41.49%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 34.05% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Naftan 38.69%
No Goal 9.42% (+0.04)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 51.89% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 26.96% (-0.28)
Equal 8 9.75% (-0.03)
Under 8 63.28% (+0.31)
Over 9 19.29% (-0.24)
Equal 9 7.68% (-0.05)
Under 9 73.04% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 13.63% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 86.37% (+0.19)

Naftan Goals

Over 1.5 27.35% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 72.65% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.94% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.68% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.32% (-0.02)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 27.7% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 39.57% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 60.43% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 16.72% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 83.28% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Naftan 28.53%
Draw 26.91%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 44.56%
Naftan
1-0 @ 8.98% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 6.24% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.63% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Total : 28.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 9.42% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.91%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.4% (-0.05)
Total : 44.56%

Head to Head

Belarusian Premier League
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Stadium
  • Ilya Vasin 20' goal
  • Nikolay Sotnikov 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Tolkachev 46' yellowcard
  • Dmitri Antilevski 74' yellowcard
  • Vasiliy Chernyavskiy 74' yellowcard
  • Ilya Vasin 77' goal
  • Egor Bozhko 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Latykhov 64'
  • yellowcard Vasiliy Chernyavskiy 64'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Aleksandrovich 79'
  • yellowcard Muzaffar Gurbanov 79'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Latykhov 79'
  • yellowcard Vasiliy Chernyavskiy 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
Belarusian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 11.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ignat Sidor 32' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Kolyadko 49' goal
  • Yevhen Protasov 52' goal
  • Mydo Kingu 81' yellowcard
  • Egor Kress 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitry Lutik 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 30
Nov 29, 2025 10.00am
Stadyen Atlant
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2025 11.00pm
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 29
Nov 24, 2024 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyen Atlant
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Skshinecki 41'
  • yellowcard Arseni Ageev 64'
  • yellowcard Danila Godyaev 90'+2'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 14
Jun 30, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT City Stadium
  • Egor Pogostnov 70' yellowcard
  • Dmitri Radikovskiy 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Roman Paparyga 1'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Kuchinskiy 8'
  • goal Anton Suchkov 32'
  • yellowcard Egor Kress 37'
  • goal Roman Paparyga 42'
  • yellowcard Mydo Kingu 90'
  • goal Mydo Kingu 90'+1'
  • redcard Aleksandr Kuchinskiy 90'+3'