Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 16
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT City Stadium
  • Valeri Gorbachik 63' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Ksenofontov 16'
  • goal Arseniy Migdalenok 43'

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Minsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 2.00pm
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0 - 3 Vitebsk

FC Minsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 4.30pm
Dnepr Mogilev 1 - 2 FC Minsk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.57% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 19.32% (+0.52)
Draw 21.57% (+0.22)
FC Minsk 59.11% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.67% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 25.33% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 50.49% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 49.51% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.7% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.3% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.64% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.36% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 16.41% (+0.02)
Draw 39.27% (+0.03)
FC Minsk 44.32% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 27.24% (+0.22)
No Goal 6.6% (+0.03)
FC Minsk 66.16% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 20.18% (+0.36)
Equal 8 8.6% (+0.08)
Under 8 71.21% (-0.45)
Over 9 13.89% (+0.29)
Equal 9 6.29% (+0.09)
Under 9 79.82% (-0.37)
Over 10.5 9.54% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 90.46% (-0.22)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 1.5 21.25% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 78.75% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 5.31% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 94.69% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 1.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 98.37% (-0.08)

FC Minsk Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 52.22% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 47.78% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 26.37% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 73.63% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 9.9% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 90.1% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 19.31%
Draw 21.58%
FC Minsk 59.11%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 6.24% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 4.79% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 3.14% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.65% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.19% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.62% (+0.09)
Total : 19.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.58%
FC Minsk
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 6.17% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.89% (-0.21)
Total : 59.11%

Head to Head

Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 1
Mar 20, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion FK Minsk
  • A. Ksenofontov 35' goal
  • Vladislav Malyutin 78' yellowcard
  • V. Varaksa 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Mokin 17'
  • yellowcard Ivan Tolkachev 58'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Sotnikov 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Sazonchik 75'
Belarusian Premier League
Sep 26, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadyen Traktar
  • Ilya Sviridenko 10' goal
  • Ilya Sviridenko 10' goal
  • Dmitry Lisakovich 40' yellowcard
  • Dmitry Lisakovich 40' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Gutor 64' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Gutor 64' yellowcard
  • Ilya Dubinets 78' yellowcard
  • Ilya Dubinets 78' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Khadarkevich 90'+3' goal
  • Ruslan Khadarkevich 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 43'
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 43'
  • goal Kiriil Kirilenko 65'
  • goal Kiriil Kirilenko 65'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 28
Nov 9, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Aleksandr Skshinecki 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yevgeniy Zemko 82'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Mikhalenko 86'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 13
Jun 22, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion FK Minsk
  • Daniil Dusheuski 7' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Mikhalenko 19' yellowcard
  • Danila Godyaev 77' yellowcard
  • Tsimafei Simanenka 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vadim Harutyunyan 15'
  • goal Ruslan Myalkovskiy 20'
  • goal Aleksandr Poznyak 36'
  • yellowcard Danila Godyaev 58'
  • yellowcard Kirill Zabelin 90'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT