Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 12
Jun 21, 2026 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Borisov Arena
  • Maksim Sakuta 45'+1' goal
  • Maksim Sakuta 67' goal
  • goal Mark Mokin 65'
  • goal Mark Mokin 82'
  • goal Valeri Gorbachik 87'

BATE Borisov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 5.00pm
Belshina 1 - 1 BATE

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 4.00pm
Dnepr Mogilev 0 - 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.71% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

BATE Borisov 44.5% (-0.11)
Draw 28.71% (+0.02)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.79% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.84% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.79% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 33.21% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 40.44% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 59.56% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 20.36% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 79.64% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.66% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.34% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

BATE Borisov 31.71% (+0.02)
Draw 45.58% (-0.04)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22.7% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

BATE Borisov 50.3% (+0.03)
No Goal 10.54% (-0.06)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 39.16% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 14.53% (-0.16)
Equal 8 6.04% (-0.05)
Under 8 79.43% (+0.21)
Over 9 10.45% (-0.12)
Equal 9 4.08% (-0.05)
Under 9 85.47% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 7.75% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 92.25% (+0.08)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 1.5 37.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.06%
Under 2.5 84.94%
Over 3.5 4.89%
Under 3.5 95.11%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 59.09% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 40.91% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 23.94% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 76.06% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 7.3% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.7% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.83% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.17% (-0.04)

Score analysis

BATE Borisov 44.5%
Draw 28.72%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.79%
BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 4.83% (-0.01)
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.54% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 28.72%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77% (+0.03)
Total : 26.79%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 31, 2026 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Borisov Arena
  • goal 79'
Belarusian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 7
May 2, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Yaroslav Oreshkevich 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danila Zhulpa 29'
  • goal Yao Jean Charles Olivier 55'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Anufriev 56'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 25
Oct 20, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Borisov Arena
  • Ilya Aleksievich 30' goal
  • Danila Zhulpa 43' yellowcard
  • Victor Sotnikov 47' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Rusenchik 53' goal
  • Vladislav Rusenchik 58' goal
  • Yann Emmanuel Affi 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roman Vegerya 44'
  • goal Danila Godyaev 55'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyen RTsOP-BGU
  • Yriy Lovets 28' goal
  • Danila Godyaev 32' goal
  • Vadim Harutyunyan 63' yellowcard
  • Matvey Gerasimov 68' yellowcard
  • Arseni Ageev 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sherif Jimoh 30'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 30
Nov 12, 2022 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Valeriy Gromyko 45'
  • goal Ilya Vasilevich 71'