Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 12
Jun 21, 2026 4.00pm
Borisov Arena

BATE Borisov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 5.00pm
Belshina 1 - 1 BATE

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 4.00pm
Dnepr Mogilev 0 - 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.61%. A draw has a probability of 28.69% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.36%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it is 0-1 (9.57%).

Result

BATE Borisov 44.61% (+0.08)
Draw 28.69% (-0.03)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.64% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.63% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 33.37% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 40.28% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 59.72% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 20.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.71% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.61% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.39% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

BATE Borisov 31.7% (+0.08)
Draw 45.62% (-0.07)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22.68% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

BATE Borisov 50.27% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.59% (-0.01)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 39.14% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 14.68% (+0.08)
Equal 8 6.09% (+0.04)
Under 8 79.23% (-0.10)
Over 9 10.56% (+0.06)
Equal 9 4.12% (+0.03)
Under 9 85.32% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 7.83% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 92.17% (-0.04)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.06% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.89% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.11% (-0.02)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 58.87% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.13% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 23.74% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.26% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.2% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.8% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

BATE Borisov 44.62%
Draw 28.69%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.65%
BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 13.17% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48%
3-0 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 4.84% (+0.01)
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 28.69%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Total : 26.65%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 31, 2026 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Borisov Arena
  • goal 79'
Belarusian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 7
May 2, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT City Stadium
  • Yaroslav Oreshkevich 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danila Zhulpa 29'
  • goal Yao Jean Charles Olivier 55'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Anufriev 56'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 25
Oct 20, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Borisov Arena
  • Ilya Aleksievich 30' goal
  • Danila Zhulpa 43' yellowcard
  • Victor Sotnikov 47' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Rusenchik 53' goal
  • Vladislav Rusenchik 58' goal
  • Yann Emmanuel Affi 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roman Vegerya 44'
  • goal Danila Godyaev 55'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyen RTsOP-BGU
  • Yriy Lovets 28' goal
  • Danila Godyaev 32' goal
  • Vadim Harutyunyan 63' yellowcard
  • Matvey Gerasimov 68' yellowcard
  • Arseni Ageev 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sherif Jimoh 30'
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 30
Nov 12, 2022 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Valeriy Gromyko 45'
  • goal Ilya Vasilevich 71'