Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.49% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.82%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.