Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 29.81% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.