Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.38% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%) , while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.43%).