Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.