Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baranovichi win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baranovichi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.