Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (11.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.