Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.03% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.