Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.08% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%) , while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.03%).