Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.34% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%) , while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.