Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.13% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.