Belarusian Premier League
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT City Stadium
  • Vadim Tkachenko 46' yellowcard
  • Mark Mokin 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Volskiy 46' yellowcard
  • Denis Polyakov 60' yellowcard
  • Ilya Vasin 70' yellowcard
  • goal Bassekou Diabaté 5'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Lisakovich 20'
  • goal Nikita Glushkov 26'
  • goal Ivan Oreshkevich 51' (OG)
  • yellowcard Daniil Galyata 66'
  • yellowcard Shamar Nicholson 66'
  • yellowcard Daniil Galyata 67'
  • yellowcard Shamar Nicholson 67'
  • yellowcard Timur Ivanov 72'
  • yellowcard Y. Skibskiy 72'

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs MKK-Dnepr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
Baranovichi 1 - 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

MKK-Dnepr

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.00pm
MKK-Dnepr 5 - 1 Dnepr Mogilev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.13% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 15.62% (+0.06)
Draw 24.13% (+0.56)
MKK-Dnepr 60.26% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.08% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.83% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 31.17% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 43.43% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 56.57% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 22.33% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 77.67% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.94% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.06% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 14.39% (+0.34)
Draw 42.57% (+0.76)
MKK-Dnepr 43.04% (-1.11)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24.2% (-0.13)
No Goal 9.73% (+0.22)
MKK-Dnepr 66.07% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 4.25% (+0.61)
Equal 8 0.9% (+0.22)
Under 8 94.85% (-0.84)
Over 9 3.6% (+0.50)
Equal 9 0.65% (+0.12)
Under 9 95.75% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 3.08% (+0.40)
Under 10.5 96.92% (-0.40)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 1.5 15.22% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 84.78% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 3.64% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 96.36% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 0.81% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.19% (+0.01)

MKK-Dnepr Goals

Over 0.5 80.3% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 19.7% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 49.31% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 50.69% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 23.68% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.32% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.89% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 91.11% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 15.62%
Draw 24.14%
MKK-Dnepr 60.25%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 3.87% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 1.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.8% (-0.02)
Total : 15.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.73% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 3.24% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.14%
MKK-Dnepr
0-1 @ 15.31% (-0.33)
0-2 @ 12.25% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 9.38% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 7.15% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 8.88% (-0.09)
Total : 60.25%

Head to Head

Belarusian Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 2
Mar 29, 2025 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT CSK Vitebskiy Iskusstvennoe pole
  • Nikita Baranok 64' yellowcard
  • Honore Gomis 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Kozlovskiy 86' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Lisakovich 90'+1' goal
  • Aleksey Nosko 90'+2' goal
  • goal Yriy Lovets 37'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Mikhalenko 39'
  • goal Kiriil Kirilenko 58'
  • yellowcard Fathullo Olimzoda 90'+4'