Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 43.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.86% and a win for MKK-Dnepr had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a MKK-Dnepr win it was 0-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.